The pickings are slim, so we’ve pulled out the diamonds in the rough. Dan and Todd have your NFL Week 13 best picks against the spread (ATS). Four teams worth wagering your house… just don’t bet that much.
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As the weather has gotten colder, or was supposed to have gotten colder, our picks have dramatically cooled off. Are we so out of touch? No, it’s the outcomes that are wrong! The Simpsons have never steered us wrong before, so we press forward knowing its the league that is wrong. Our NFL Week 13 picks are 100% accurate.
The NFL is currently in the midst of potential calamity around every turn. Denver played without an eligible quarterback and predictably got demolished. San Francisco will be playing the remainder of the season without a home stadium to play or practice in. Welcome to Arizona. Then there are Baltimore and Pittsburgh who may never play again, as their “Week 12” game was pushed back into Week 13. Buyer beware.
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Was this a one-off of bad luck for the league or a sign of more to come? There were scares earlier in the season for sure, but Week 12 was the worst the league has yet dealt with the coronavirus. At what point does the sanctity of the schedule no longer outweigh the safety of the participants? Until that point arises, we keep picking these silly betting lines and NFL Week 13 is full of clowns. The lines stink, but there are a few attractive matchups. These are your Best Picks Against the Spread (ATS) for Week 13 of the NFL 2020 season. All lines come via Odds Shark, which compiles the complete list of Vegas Sports Book betting lines.
NFL Week 13 Best Picks ATS
Dan Salem’s NFL 2020 record: 15-7-1
Todd Salem’s NFL 2020 record: 12-10-2
Todd Salem’s NFL Week 13 picks:
New Orleans Saints -2.5 at Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is coming off one of the most inexplicable outcomes of the entire season. The Falcons have a bad defense, were playing a very good offense, and themselves were without two of their top skill players on offense. Instead of failing to generate offense and getting wrecked on the other side, the exact opposite happened. I refuse to believe that outcome was representative or predictive.
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Even without their top quarterback, New Orleans looks like the best team in the NFC. It is 4-1 on the road and has one of the best defenses in the league right now, even ignoring the “game” against Denver. I expected this line to be closer to -7 or -8. I can’t explain why it is less than a field goal. The only plausible explanation for not backing the Saints is that these two teams played just two weeks ago, with N.O. winning easily, and that will somehow offer Atlanta the better opportunity to make changes…? Lay the points.
Arizona Cardinals +3 vs. Los Angeles Rams
I obviously don’t like what I saw from Arizona last week, but it’s not like the Rams did anything to prove they should be a three-point road favorite against a divisional peer. In recent weeks, the Rams beat Seattle, lost to Miami, and secured a win against a playoff-caliber opponent. Arizona…has the exact same resume: it beat Seattle, lost to Miami, and secured a win against a playoff-caliber opponent. If you want to say Los Angeles has a better defense, I’ll agree, but the two teams have nearly identical point differentials for the season. This looks like a classic, straight forward, home team by three. Instead, the road team is laying points, and it doesn’t make sense.
Dan Salem’s NFL Week 13 Picks:
Cincinnati Bengals +11.5 at Miami Dolphins
Cincinnati impressed me last week with their ability to stay in a game versus the Giants. Granted, New York lost its starting quarterback, but it was still a two point game. Miami is certainly a better team, but did not do much to impress me against the Jets. Their defense is stingy, but I was not impressed by the offense, even with Ryan Fitzpatrick back under center. What does this mean for NFL Week 13? This line is ridiculously high. The Bengals are not going to be blown out by the Dolphins. These are simply too many points to pass up.
Buffalo Bills -1 at San Francisco 49ers
Consider me pleasantly surprised, as the Buffalo Bills have maintained their dominance throughout a rocky season. San Francisco put a solid game together in beating their division rivals last week, but they are simply no match for the formidable Buffalo offense. I expect a close game, but we are giving up less than a field goal here. Buffalo is going to win and I’m giving the points on the road. With very few attractive lines this week, don’t pass on this one.
Meet our NFL Experts:
Dan Salem is Lead Editor, Writer, and Co-owner of BuzzChomp. He’s a published author, as well as an award winning Actor, Director and Producer. Visit M Square Productions for his film work, or get lost in his old-school comedy on Pillow Talk TV. You can follow him on Twitter and Instagram.
Todd Salem is a Staff Writer and Contributing Editor at BuzzChomp. He’s also a fantasy football and fantasy baseball Staff Writer for RotoBaller. Follow him on Twitter or comment below for his unfiltered opinions.
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