The odds makers have decided, but we all know a bet must pay. Favorites, reasonable reaches and longshots. Your Super Bowl 59 best bets.
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According to the oddsmakers, the Kansas City Chiefs are the favorites to win Super Bowl 59. It makes sense. Every team, even every contender, has question marks. Kansas City’s are perhaps the easiest to gloss over and think could be covered up by other strengths. Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes, a great offensive line, and great defense should pretty much cover up anything else that could go wrong.
That’s not to say KC is an overwhelming favorite. Trailing close behind are the San Francisco 49ers. San Fran would seem to have a lot more questions right now, with Christian McCaffrey’s injury, Brandon Aiyuk’s holdout, Trent Williams missing camp, injuries along the defense, and a quarterback who people around the league still aren’t sure if he’s good or just in a good spot.
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Yet that’s the best the NFC has to offer? We’re not buying it, and we’re certainly not betting it.
Let’s run through our favorite Super Bowl bets. We’ll each pick one favorite, one reasonable reach, and one longshot who we like the best. Do you go for more of a sure thing, or take a chance on a monster payout? We provide the options. You gamble responsibly.
Super Bowl 59 Best Bets

Super Bowl 59: The Favorites
Todd Salem: For a favorite, let’s not get stupid here. It’s the Chiefs at 5/1, for all the reasons I just outlined. I also don’t love the situation with the rest of the favorites: Baltimore’s defense and skill players give me pause; Detroit’s defense and quarterback; Philadelphia’s defense, offensive line, and chemistry; Cincinnati’s defense and injury concerns; the list goes on.
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KC offers the smallest return, but that’s because they have the fewest question marks in the league. It’s not likely this team will three-peat. It’s never happened before. But picking one, individual squad to win the title, there isn’t a smarter pick than the same Kansas City Chiefs.
Dan Salem: Yes, Kansas City is the obvious choice with the most complete package. But we must consider that they have won back to back and are certainly less motivated than my favorite, the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens were the best team in the AFC regular season last year and are getting 10/1 odds to win Super Bowl 59. If not for the Chiefs’ recent postseason success, I would put these two teams on even playing fields. They match up perfectly on paper, so I’ll take the better odds with Baltimore, who certainly has a larger chip on their shoulder.
Super Bowl 59: Reasonable Reaches
Todd Salem: Picking a reasonable reach, I like the Dolphins at 25/1. They have all the pieces on both sides of the ball. The reason people aren’t high on Miami is because they have a reputation of coming up small against the stiffest competition. No one doubts their talent. Well, what if Mike McDaniel and company learn how to harness their best abilities against the best competition? Suddenly, we have one of the favorites in the league. That’s all it takes. The fact that this is something nebulous, that cannot be expressed on a stat sheet, makes it hard to argue in favor of. But it also makes it hard to argue against.
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Dan Salem: Without looking at the odds, I immediately chose the Philadelphia Eagles as my reasonable reach to win the big game. The Eagles don’t feel like any kind of favorite, but unfortunately for me their 13/1 odds put them out of this category. Funny enough, the team I pegged as my longshot holds odds akin to a reasonable reach.
My New York Jets at 20/1 odds are a solid reach. They have a star at quarterback, a stud defense, a blossoming star at running back and at wide receiver, as well as a massive chip on their shoulder. If they survive the regular season and make the playoffs, New York will be dangerous. They hold nice odds with a real shot at going the distance.

Super Bowl 59: Long Shots
Todd Salem: Arguing against a longshot Super Bowl champion is easy. Zeroing in on the perfect longshot bet is more difficult. If I’m picking a longshot, give me the Seahawks at 80/1. Seattle has a different voice leading them for the first time in quite some time. That voice is Mike Macdonald, the man who just pulled the league’s number one defense out of a hat in Baltimore. The main reason I’m down on the Ravens is Macdonald leaving town. Seattle has pieces on defense that could see a similar upturn, even if they don’t reach top-unit status.
On offense, the skill players are fantastic and the quarterback is of serviceable quality. It all comes down to the offensive line. I think the Seahawks will vie for postseason contention already. If this o-line becomes a great group, there is reason to think Seattle could make a deep run in the playoffs. 80/1 odds are more than favorable for such an outcome.
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Dan Salem: Since my original longshot pick was not long enough, I’ll take the Pittsburgh Steelers with 50/1 odds to win Super Bowl 59. The Steelers under Mike Tomlin always have a winning record and they usually make the playoffs. Pittsburgh was held back last season by its quarterback play more than anything, but now they have two legitimate contenders for comeback player of the year at the position.
Russell Wilson has won a Super Bowl and been great. If he regains even 75% of his prior moxy, the Steelers will be very dangerous. With Justin Fields waiting in the wings, the quarterback ceiling in Pittsburgh is quite high. There’s enough here to like and with 50/1 odds, the Steelers are a nice longshot pick.
Meet our Writers:
Dan Salem is Lead Editor and Co-owner of BuzzChomp. He’s an award winning Actor, Director and Producer. Visit M Square Productions for his film work, or get lost in his old-school comedy on Pillow Talk TV. You can follow him on X, TikTok and Instagram. His latest film ‘Alone’ is now on Amazon.
Todd Salem is a Staff Writer and Contributing Editor at BuzzChomp. He’s also a champion of fantasy football and fantasy baseball, dominating leagues for over two decades. Comment below on his unfiltered opinions.
Super Bowl Photo Credits: nfl.com and newyorker.com via Getty Images
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